My guess is 20-25k when it is released, maybe 15-20k. Once the price settles, my best guess is around 15-20k Elytra are non-renewable Are plentiful Elytra are repairable (cheap, too) People may want multiple for the SMPs
I wouldn't be surprised to see people pay 80 to 120k for them next week. After all: ocean monument blocks and sponges also started out to be massively expensive but over time the prizes also dropped heavily. Oh good times when people charged 2k for a sponge
Same, I would expect more around 40-50k the first week. Its the same for all new items, currently on EMC enchanted books cost about 100-500r each but I expect Mending and Frost Walker to rack in about 1000-1500 each book (back to the prices books used to be pre-1.8). All ocean monument stuff (basic blocks) used to get like 20k a DC. The only block that hasnt really changed in price much from an update (it has a bit but not tooooo much) is quartz. I expect people to even pay more for endercrystals (already crafted) than for ghast tears. And dragon heads... I can see those going 80-120k the first few days. Only sad part about this update is that it is on a holiday so the server will be FLOODED (everyone thats in school still will be off that day). But, I guess its better that everyone gets to enjoy the benefits right away.
I don't think that's sad, it's going to be cool! Better check up on your supporter status because otherwise you might not be able to play on your home server! Ok, that might be overdoing things a bit but even so... The more the merrier. I personally can't wait to reboot my 'Highway to Mesa' project again Hmm, maybe I should bump that
I don't think the price will sink below 50k any time soon. Finding it does not require only time, but also some skill.
True. But what would be most handy to have is another Elytra, then you can swoop from one island to the other to find more
It's still not easy, you need a tower and have to correctly estimate the needed height. And you have to decide if you really want to risk the elytra.
It just happened to me that elytra stopped working between two uses - in SSP, I think after I passed through a portal from an outer island back to the main island. I was wearing it all the time. I jumped from the portal, pressed space, but it didn't open. Tried again - nothing. Tried taking it off and wearing it again - nothing. Tried from higher place (20+ blocks) - nothing. Tried another, unused elytra - nothing. Restarted the game - it worked again. Probably a strange bug.
I'm not really sure, but I'm guessing around 20-60k. I know it's a bit much, but it's a flying machine!!